2025
Factor Strategy – Capital Gain Overhang | Part 2
In the previous study, we examined the Capital Gain Overhang (CGO) factor, designed to capture the behavioral bias known as the Disposition Effect. By measuring the gap between current market prices and investors’ average cost basis, CGO quantifies unrealized gains and losses at the market level. Empirical tests in Taiwan’s equity market confirmed that CGO is a meaningful predictor of future returns: high-CGO stocks consistently outperformed low-CGO stocks, generating significant positive alpha beyond standard Fama–French models, especially over medium- to long-term horizons.
