Chip Analysis

Boost your quantitative strategy with QFII concentration & broker consensus! Discover how the conc_qfii fusion strategy delivers a 30.12% annualized return in the Taiwan large-cap market.

Track QFII 'smart money' footprints in Taiwan large-cap stocks! Learn how the Foreign-Institutional Trading Concentration (conc_qfii) factor predicts returns.

In an AI-driven Taiwan stock market, mastering chip distribution (ownership structure) is the key to profitability. This study delves into the Share Distribution data from the TDCC, transforming 15 tiers of shareholding data into behavioral finance factors such as investor attention, opinion dispersion, and retail speculation. By utilizing Fama–MacBeth two-stage regression and the alphalens-tej quantitative tool, we precisely validate the predictive power of psychological biases on stock returns, providing investors with actionable Alpha strategies and robust risk management solutions.

This strategy is based on tracking the flow of so-called "smart money" in the market, referring to the positions of the three major institutional investors in Taiwan: foreign investors, investment trusts, and proprietary traders. The strategy assumes that when these three institutions hold a strong and consistent view of the market direction, following their lead has a higher probability of success.

Gabriel Watson  is a well-known American growth-momentum portfolio manager. In his early career, he worked at Morgan Stanley Investment Management and William O’Neil & Co., where he accumulated extensive market research experience. Since joining Black Rose Capital Management in 1998, Watson has broken away from the confines of traditional value investing and developed a systematic, rule-based stock-picking method centered on “revenue momentum and price strength.” He calls this framework “The Machine.” In an environment characterized by rapid information flow and swift capital rotation, this approach has enabled him to capture the powerful upward moves of leading stocks.

The net buy/sell, stock holding ratio, and turnover rate of the three major institutional investors are important indicators in chip analysis. When making investments, using this information as a basis allows us to better understand the market dynamics and potentially profit from stock trading.

The term "Three Major Institutional Investors" specifically refers to foreign institutional investors, investment funds, and dealers. Compared to individual retail investors, these institutions have large and concentrated funds, holding a considerable portion of the market in stock trading.

Taiwan’s stock market is a shallow dish market. A shallow dish means it has no depth and is susceptible to external shocks. In contrast, the stock market is easily disturbed by external forces. It has significant ups and downs, such as being influenced by news or large purchases of a single stock by large investors, which can significantly affect stock price performance. This article uses several chip data to explore the impact on stock prices when chips are concentrated in stock and presents them in an interactive chart.

How do the three primary institutional investors invest in Taiwan stocks? Highlights Preface The three primary institutional investors are essential participants in the Taiwan stock market. Others investors use three direct institutional investors’ daily trading volume, cumulative trading volume, and the shareholding ratio of stocks to be a benchmark to invest. Therefore, we analyze the […]

In the last two articles, we’ve introduced the three major institutional investors in Taiwan. Now we are heading to share the calculation methods of Dealers’ shareholding ratio.

Chip analysis and backtesting using TEJ API trial database Preface Generally speaking, big players such as institutional investors, insiders or other investors holding large amounts of shares have information advantages over retail investors. Thus, they are more likely to select stocks with potential growth and distance themselves from risky stocks. To decrease this kind of […]