2025
Golden Cross Futures Trading Strategy(MTX)
The concept of the Moving Average (MA) originates from the Dow Theory developed in the early 20th century. Dow Theory emphasizes that markets exhibit trends, and such trends can be observed through price movements themselves. However, in the early days, price data was highly volatile and lacked smoothing tools. Analysts therefore began using the average price over a certain period to reduce random noise—this marked the beginning of the moving average.
With advancements in statistics and computer computation, the moving average gradually became one of the most fundamental technical indicators in quantitative trading. From the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to more sophisticated variants such as the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) and Hull Moving Average (HMA), all these improvements aim to address the inherent lag problem of traditional moving averages, allowing them to reflect price trends more quickly or more smoothly.